Moorfields Keratoconus Risk Calculator

Probability of Needing Crosslinking

Age

Kmax

Front K1

Pachymetry

Key

0123450%20%40%60%80%100%
Years since first appointmentProbability of Needing Crosslinking
Right Eye
Year 1
56.9 %
Year 2
72.5 %
Year 3
79.3 %
Year 4
83.3 %
Left Eye
Year 1
18.3 %
Year 2
26.7 %
Year 3
31.5 %
Year 4
35 %

Further Information

Not everyone diagnosed with keratoconus will need cross-linking (CXL). In some patients, the condition naturally stabilises earlier on. Certain risk factors (such as younger age) can increase the likelihood of your keratoconus getting worse.

The figures in the table above show how likely you are to need cross-linking over the next few years but should not be used in isolation when making clinical decisions. For example, if there is a 25% chance your right eye will need CXL two years after this appointment, this means that there is a 75% chance you will not need CXL during that same time period.

Your eye care specialist will advise you whether CXL is recommended for you.

About Us →